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Polymarket being targeted was expected, with $400k in insider trading and 80 people betting early on an attack; on-chain transparency has instead become evidence in court.
The investigation focuses on election results and transactions related to military actions against Iran and Venezuela; previously, a U.S. soldier was arrested for profiting about $400k on Polymarket using intelligence on Venezuela's regime change, and more than 80 users placed orders before the U.S.-Israel airstrike on Iran.