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After a night of HYPE surge, I realize that the biggest enemy of shorts is actually themselves
Many people think that shorts lost to HYPE.
Actually, it's not.
They lost to "disobedience."
Because there is a particularly dangerous mentality in the crypto world:
"Since it has risen so much, it must be about to fall."
And the result?
It continues to rise.
Then shorts start to add to their positions;
adding more positions gets them further pulled;
ultimately shifting from "rational analysis" to "emotional betting."
This is also why many liquidations are not completed in one go, but happen in a "series of failures."
HYPE has now clearly entered an emotion-driven stage.
At this point, technical analysis becomes increasingly difficult.
Because the price is no longer driven by valuation, but by market sentiment.
My current strategy is very simple:
Follow the trend, and avoid buying the top.
Because there is a harsh reality in the market:
Once a trend forms,
it lasts longer than you imagine.
Many people keep thinking about "smart shorting," but in the end, they find that the market specializes in defeating smart people.
Instead, those clumsy holders of spot assets wake up to new highs in their accounts.
Of course, I won't blindly go long either.
Because this accelerated rise is essentially starting to deplete future space.
In other words:
The faster it rises,
the greater the future volatility.
So I keep my positions very small.
Making a profit is a surprise,
losing doesn’t hurt much.
The biggest problem for many retail investors is always wanting to get rich overnight. As soon as the market moves slightly against them, their mindset collapses.
The traders who truly survive understand one principle:
First survive,
then make money.
What does HYPE look like now?
Like a sports car already racing at 200 mph.
You can get in,
but don’t think it won’t flip over.