Dogecoin's 2021 bull market, with an increase of over 800 times, how many times will it rise in the 2026 bull market?

First, clarify the facts, then see how much it can increase in 2026.

1. How much did it actually increase in 2021?

- Price at the beginning of 2021: about $0.0046
- Highest price in 2021: $0.7378 (May 8)
- Multiple: 0.7378 ÷ 0.0046 ≈ 160 times
- If you start from the extremely low point in 2020: $0.0011–$0.0012
0.7378 ÷ 0.00115 ≈ 640–700 times
So, "over 800 times" is the extreme figure; normally speaking, 150–200 times, and at the extreme 600–800 times, are all reasonable.

2. The biggest difference between 2026 and 2021 (making an 800x increase unlikely again)

1. The base is completely different
- 2021 starting point: $0.004–$0.005, almost near zero
- 2026 now: about $0.11 (May 2026)
Going from $0.004 to $0.8 is easy; from $0.11 to $8 is several hundred times harder.
2. Market cap disparity
- Early 2021 market cap: a few billion dollars
- 2026 current market cap: about $15–$18 billion
The larger the market cap, the harder it is to double.
3. Infinite inflation supply
- About 5 billion new coins added each year, long-term dilution of value, unlikely to be deflationary like BTC.
4. Positive news is strong but not "from zero to one"
- 2021: zero hype + Musk's reckless calls + retail frenzy, completely unexpected
- 2026: ETF, regulatory classification, X payments, whale accumulation — some positive factors are already priced in, making another "unexpected thousandfold surge" unlikely.

3. Reasonable multiple range for 2026 (starting from $0.11)

Below are the mainstream market predictions + my conservative/optimistic breakdown (by end of 2026):

1) Conservative (higher probability)

- Price: $0.25–$0.45
- Multiple: 2–4x

2) Standard bull market (ETF + regulation + Musk cooperation)

- Price: $0.50–$1.00
- Multiple: 5–9x

3) Super frenzy (meme season + Musk's big move + BTC bull run)

- Price: $1.5–$2.0
- Multiple: 13–18x

4) Extreme fantasy (almost impossible)

- Price: $5
- Multiple: 45x
- $10: 90x
But: It’s almost impossible to replicate the 2021 100x+ in 2026.

4. One-sentence conclusion

- 2021: took off from "zero," with an extreme 600–800x, normally about 150x.
- 2026: starting from $0.11, reasonable range: 2–4x (conservative), 5–10x (bull market), unlikely to exceed 20x at the extreme.

If you want, I can prepare a simple table for you:
"Different target prices for Dogecoin in 2026 → corresponding market cap → how much capital is needed to enter," so you can see the difficulty at a glance.