Coin World News: A research report from China International Capital Corporation states that Japan’s current “high interest rates” are basically in line with Japan’s economic and inflation fundamentals. Recently, Japan’s bond yields have risen sharply, drawing concerns from many investors. In the long run, whether interest rates are high or low needs to be assessed against the level of inflation; however, the recent pace of the interest rate increase has been somewhat “too fast.” The reasons include rising global inflation driven by Middle East geopolitical conflicts, a stance of fiscal expansion, and a stance of monetary easing. If the BOJ continues to adhere to a policy of large-scale fiscal expansion and monetary easing, Japan’s domestic economy and inflation may face a risk of stagflation. In that case, the capital markets could face the risk of “three-way losses” across stocks, bonds, and FX. Conversely, if fiscal policy remains neutral and monetary policy continues to tighten, Japanese assets may stabilize, which would be beneficial for the stability of global capital markets.

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GateUser-14d03834
· 1h ago
The speed of interest rate hikes is a very critical judgment.
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ButterStop-LossLine
· 1h ago
The triple collapse of stocks, bonds, and currencies, a trader's nightmare scenario
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ForkItAnyway
· 2h ago
Does fiscal neutrality alone lead to stability? That's a bit idealized.
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NeonUmbrella
· 2h ago
Sanae Takashi might really do that, and the yen could be in trouble.
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FrontrunTherapy
· 2h ago
Fiscal expansion + monetary easing, the classic stagflation recipe
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GateUser-176c498f
· 2h ago
Japanese inflation is just starting to rise, and it's not easy to suppress.
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SlothSignal
· 2h ago
CICC's research report is quite solid. Japan is indeed in a bit of a dilemma right now.
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RugproofRookie
· 2h ago
This report is out, and Japanese bond volatility is going up again.
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Half-UnderstoodZk
· 2h ago
The blame for the Middle East conflict is a bit unfairly placed on Japan.
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