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Today I place my side with OpenAI. To me, the build that will take the first step into capital markets looks like OpenAI.
There are a few strong reasons for this.
First, the news flow in recent days shows that prep on the OpenAI side has gone to a very high level. Talk says they work on a private IPO file with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley. Some sources say the first formal step could start in a few days.
On the Anthropic side, income growth moves very strong. The firm demand on the Claude side has risen a lot. In the last data flow it was said the firm nears its first run of profit. But for now their focus looks to be growth and huge build spend. The SpaceX data hub deal is one of the biggest clues of that.
In my view, the key point here will be speed.
OpenAI lately:
• grew its firm partner web • added more ways to earn • made its global user base much larger • got far higher reach on the market side
So it looks more set to pull buyer focus first in the IPO process.
Anthropic moves very strong on tech and safety, yet I think the firm keeps a more careful growth path. For that reason, the odds look high that they move a few steps more slow on the IPO side.
My guess:
✅ OpenAI will be the first AI firm to take the IPO step.
The file prep and banker talks in recent weeks make this odds stronger. In the AI race the issue is not only tech now; capital flow, data hub power, and global buyer focus have turned into main drivers of the game.