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My journey in the crypto world is a story about how I lost everything and recovered. When I entered this market in 2017, my account quickly grew to 3 million thanks to altcoin growth. But greed and inexperience led me to collapse in 2018 — I lost everything and was left with 8 million in debt. That was a turning point. Instead of despair, I decided to act systematically, study trading as a science rather than a gambling game. After two years of hard work and testing strategies, I finally managed to earn 10 million during the bullish market of 2021. Today I want to share what I’ve realized because many wonder how much you can really earn in cryptocurrency. The answer is simple: it all depends on discipline and understanding risks.
My main trading strategy is built on two pillars: the monthly MACD to determine the trend and the 60-day moving average on the daily chart for entry points. The logic is this — I choose the trend on a monthly level, then look for an entry point on the daily. First, I select cryptocurrencies that have shown growth in the last 11 days, but immediately exclude those falling for three days in a row — a sign of capital leaving. Then I look at the monthly MACD and wait for the golden cross, when the DIF line crosses the DEA. This signals that the long-term trend is bullish. On the daily chart, I check if the price is returning to the 60-day moving average. When this happens and there’s strong volume — I enter a position.
Profit and loss management — this is what separates successful traders from others. When the price rises by 30%, I sell a third of the position. When it rises by 50%, I sell another third. I hold the remaining part until the price drops below the 60-day moving average. If, the day after entry, the price falls below this level, I exit completely — without hoping for a rebound. This discipline preserves capital.
Why does this strategy work? Because it’s based on trend, not guessing. The golden cross on the monthly chart guarantees I only trade bullish assets. The 60-day moving average is a lifeline for medium-term capital, and when the price pulls back to it, large players often support this level. Strict risk control through phased profit-taking and decisive stop-losses ensures I make profits and avoid big drops.
But you know what I’ve realized over the years? Technique is only half the success. The other half is psychology. Many lose money not because their method is wrong, but because they can’t control their emotions. When it’s time to set a stop-loss, they hesitate. When it’s time to lock in profits, they become greedy. The first rule in crypto is to preserve capital. Everything else is secondary.
I’ve noticed that in cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin usually leads the market. Sometimes Ethereum can deviate and show its own dynamics, but altcoins rarely escape Bitcoin’s influence. There are other patterns: when USDT rises, Bitcoin often falls, and vice versa. Sharp swings can happen between 0 and 1 a.m., so I sometimes set limit orders and let the market work while I sleep. At 5 p.m. Moscow time, American traders become active — this often brings volatility. Friday can be unpredictable, so I just follow the news.
When I see a cryptocurrency that has fallen with certain volume, I don’t panic. I patiently wait — usually capital returns in 3-4 days or a month. If I have free USDT, I add to the position gradually to lower the average entry price. If I don’t have funds, I just wait. Spot trading the same coin over a long period yields more profit than frequent scalping trades.
How much can you really earn in cryptocurrency? It depends not on the size of profit per trade, but on the ratio between win percentage and risk-reward ratio. I use a simple formula: a high win rate doesn’t equal high profit. Here’s why. If I risk $100 per trade and make $500 profit on a winning trade, even with only 40% win rate, I’ll still be in profit. Because the amount I earn exceeds my losses. For example, with a 3:1 ratio, I only need to win 30% of trades to be profitable. With 5:1 — just 20%. With 10:1 — even 10%.
In practice, it looks like this. Suppose I have a $20,000 account. I risk 1% per trade, so $200. I make 30 trades a month. With a 33% win rate and a 5:1 ratio, I get: 20 losing trades minus $200 = minus $4,000; 10 winning trades of $1,000 each = plus $10,000. Total: plus $6,000 a month. This is realistic if you stick to discipline.
A key mistake beginners make — they can’t hold a profitable trade to the target price. As soon as a position starts making profit, they close it too early, afraid to lose even a small gain. But if you simultaneously close losing positions quickly and hold profitable ones longer, your profit gradually evaporates. You need to accept that losses are part of trading. They’re not personal defeat, just mathematics.
I see trading as working with a clearly defined salary. Your strategy and capital determine your “salary” — potential profit. Don’t try to earn more than your strategy allows by deviating from rules. If you want to increase income, develop a better strategy or add capital after proving your ability to generate stable profits.
Over these ten years, I’ve gone through three bull and bear cycles. I’ve seen people turn small amounts into millions and others lose everything overnight. The difference wasn’t luck, but discipline. Here are my latest tips. First, choose one or two cryptocurrencies for trading, don’t try to cover everything at once — you simply won’t have time to analyze them all. Second, when the market sharply rises or falls, don’t act impulsively — calm down and observe. Third, don’t put all your money in at once. Leave half or a third of your capital to add during dips. Fourth, set a profit target, like 20%, and exit without greed. Same with losses — set a 10% threshold and exit decisively.
Learn some technical analysis. Study charts, moving averages, key indicators. It will take a few days, but it’s better than relying on others’ advice. Don’t rush entries and exits — split your buys and sells into several parts. If you want to buy 10 Bitcoin, do it in five parts over an hour or several days. This reduces risk and prevents losing everything on one impulse.
There are many conflicting opinions online about where the market is headed. Don’t listen to everyone — your head will get confused. The market is 50/50, no one can predict the future. Trust your judgment. The most dangerous thing in crypto trading is letting emotions control you. It’s the cold, calculated decisions that bring profit.
How much do successful crypto traders really earn? Those who develop a system and stick to it. I use a fixed capital for trading contracts — always the same amount. The most I lose is that capital, but in good times I earn several times more. I start with a very small trade, just a few dollars, to keep my psyche stable. Only after making a profit do I add to the position. If I don’t earn, I don’t add — I prioritize preserving capital.
I also learned to catch hot topics. Memes and new trends often bring early entries. But when FOMO takes over the crowd, I exit. Beginners shouldn’t act impulsively — investments carry risks. Don’t believe that some genius will make you rich overnight.
My advice on capital allocation: 50% for long-term investments, 30% for short-term trading, 20% for speculation you’re willing to lose as part of learning. Don’t focus only on cryptocurrencies. If you have positions, know what they are. If not, don’t think about them constantly. The highest level is to go beyond this circle.
Learn to wait. Waiting isn’t a waste of time — it’s understanding who you are and what you want. Opportunities always appear. Don’t rush. I make money on technical analysis and want to be your friend on this journey. Remember, even the wisest can make mistakes, and fools can profit. Time won’t stop for you. Leave your doubts behind, stand up, and keep going. If you lost capital, it’s not the end — it’s a lesson. I recovered my money, doubled my account, and you can too. Follow logic, take positions in advance, and you’ll get your share of profit. Currently, I watch assets like LPT, which show growth, RPL, and TRB — they’re interesting for analysis. The main thing is patience and discipline. That’s all I wanted to share.