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Have you seen the meme circulating online? China dumps all the American debt and boom, everything crashes overnight. Nice idea on paper, but let me tell you right now: it doesn’t work that way.
Let’s look at reality. American debt is basically what the US government raises by selling Treasury bonds around the world. Every country buys them because the dollar is stable and the interest is guaranteed. Simple, right? Too bad the United States needs them like air. In 2024, defense spending alone hit $886 billion. Add infrastructure, healthcare, welfare. The result? A deficit of nearly $1.7 trillion in 2023, up 23% from the year before.
Now, total American debt has surpassed $34 trillion. Impressive, isn’t it? Spread among 300 million Americans, that’s over $100,000 of debt per capita. And guess who the biggest foreign creditors are? Japan with $1.3 trillion, and China with about $767 billion. Here’s where it gets interesting.
Many think that if China sells all its American debt at once, the US economy collapses. Nothing could be further from the truth. First, China accumulated this American debt for a reason: the trade surplus. When you export like crazy, you end up with excess dollars. What do you do? You put them into US Treasuries, which maintain their value. Second, selling everything quickly would be economic suicide for China itself. The market would panic, prices would plummet, and China would lose billions. A loss for everyone, what economists call a lose-lose.
Third, the United States has tools to manage the situation. They can issue more Treasuries, attract other buyers, or simply print more dollars. Yes, you heard right: the Fed’s machine prints whatever it wants. In two months, they can print $1.5 trillion. When you control the currency, the rules change.
Fourth, $767 billion in American debt accounts for only 2.2% of the total US debt. It’s not exactly an existential threat to a giant worth $34 trillion.
Here’s the plot twist: China is actually reducing its holdings of US debt. From a peak of $1.3 trillion, we’ve gone down to $767 billion. And do you know what they’re doing with the money? Buying gold. Physical gold, no counterparty risks, no surprises. The People’s Bank of China has increased its gold reserves for 16 consecutive months, adding over 300 tons.
While China plays it smart, Japan continues to buy American debt. In February, it added $16.4 billion in Treasuries. The UK too, with an additional $9.6 billion, becoming the third-largest foreign creditor. Even Belgium has increased its holdings by $27 billion.
The moral of the story? Yes, American debt is a real, structural problem. But selling it off isn’t the solution many imagine. China knows this well, which is why it’s changing strategy. It’s gradually reducing its American debt, accumulating solid assets like gold, and preparing for the future. After all, it’s always better to plan ahead than to be caught off guard.