Recently, I've seen many discussions about the possibility of a war between China and the U.S., especially claims like "U.S. military will launch a full-scale bombing of China," which pop up every now and then to create anxiety. Honestly, these arguments are fundamentally unfounded; I think many people are actually being led by public opinion.



Let's start from the most realistic perspective—both China and the U.S. are nuclear powers. If they truly resorted to full-scale military action, it wouldn't be a small skirmish; it would inevitably lead to mutual destruction and even affect the entire world. U.S. decision-makers are well aware of this, and they simply cannot bear such consequences. Just look at the recent U.S. defense strategic report—China is defined as a "status quo power" in the Indo-Pacific region, and they talk about hoping to establish mutually respectful relations. That doesn't sound like a stance for all-out war.

On the economic front, the situation is even clearer. Currently, China and the U.S. have deeply intertwined economies. American farmers rely on selling soybeans to China for profit, U.S. companies have huge investments in China, and Chinese products are everywhere in American supermarkets. If a full-scale bombing happened, both economies would collapse instantly, and ordinary Americans would have a hard time making a living. How could the U.S. government possibly do something so self-destructive? Great power competition is about strategic balance, not total destruction.

Interestingly, that centenarian Henry Kissinger has long seen through this. He once said a very sobering remark—no matter how many allies the U.S. has, they are of little use; if a war really broke out between China and the U.S., only a handful of countries would actually stand with the U.S. This is very realistic. European allies are busy dealing with their own economic and energy issues and have no energy to worry about Asia-Pacific affairs; countries in the region, while cooperating militarily with the U.S., also have close trade ties with China. Who dares to choose sides easily? The so-called alliance relationships can't withstand the test of major power conflicts; countries prioritize their own interests first.

I’ve noticed that the new U.S. National Defense Strategy puts defending the homeland as the top priority, with responding to China’s challenge ranked lower. This shows they are actually shrinking their strategic scope and have no real intention of full-scale war. High-level talks and meetings between China and the U.S. on trade and diplomacy happen frequently, indicating both sides are trying to manage differences. Our Ministry of Foreign Affairs has always emphasized mutual respect, peaceful coexistence, and win-win cooperation. Although the U.S. sometimes makes small moves, they haven't dared to cross any bottom lines because they know pushing China into a corner would be bad for everyone.

The international landscape is no longer a black-and-white world. Most countries want stable economic development; who wants to be dragged into a great power conflict? China has always pursued peaceful development and maintains real cooperation with many countries, from which everyone benefits. Who wants to see these good days shattered by war?

Ultimately, the idea that "a war between China and the U.S. will lead to the U.S. military launching a full-scale bombing of China" is a false anxiety—it's not grounded in reality. As two major powers, both sides understand that cooperation benefits everyone, while conflict only brings harm. Both will stick to their bottom lines and won't easily escalate to full-scale conflict. Those spreading war anxiety should just listen and not take it seriously. Peaceful development is the trend, and I believe major powers have the wisdom to handle their differences properly.
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