99% of consensus is often a breeding ground for black swans.

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CoinNetwork
CryptoWorld News reports that prediction markets show the current popular event in the “Macroeconomics” sector is the largest company at the end of May—Nvidia—with a probability as high as 99%. As of 14:43 on May 21, 2026 (UTC), the event’s 24-hour trading volume is approximately $740k, bringing the cumulative trading volume to $7.4 million, with a liquidity pool of $725k. The event is scheduled to end on May 31, 2026 (UTC).
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