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Just noticed WTW dropped about 10% since their last earnings call a month back. Pretty interesting because they actually beat estimates on the bottom line - earnings came in at $8.12 per share, which was solid. Revenues hit $2.9 billion and topped expectations too. But here's the thing, the market didn't seem to care much.
Looking at the details, their operating margins actually expanded across both main segments. Health, Wealth & Career saw margins jump 240 basis points, and Risk & Broking was up 120 basis points. They're also sitting on $3.1 billion in cash, which is up significantly from last year. Free cash flow grew 22% year over year to $1.55 billion. On paper, that's pretty solid execution.
What might be weighing on sentiment is the guidance around the Newfront acquisition they're planning. They're expecting it to be dilutive to earnings next year by about 10 cents per share. Plus, analysts have been cutting estimates since the report dropped. The stock got a Hold rating with expectations for in-line returns over the next few months. Could be a wait-and-see situation until we get more clarity on how that deal plays out and whether margin expansion can continue.
The broader picture is they're projecting continued margin expansion in 2026, but the market seems to want to see it materialize before getting excited again. Sometimes beating estimates isn't enough if guidance feels uncertain.