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2026-05-21 13:28:03

Launching in June, I'll mark this odds first.

View Original

MarsBitNews2026-05-21 13:14:14

Forecasting website betting: SpaceX's valuation could surpass $2 trillion

The bets on Polymarket before SpaceX's IPO show a market capitalization likely exceeding $1 trillion, with a 73% chance of surpassing $2 trillion; the IPO is planned for June, with a target valuation possibly over $1.5 trillion. Probabilities for over $3 trillion and $4 trillion are given as 17% and 2%, respectively, but trading activity on the contracts is light, and the outside world remains cautious about these probabilities.

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