Best date to buy Bitcoin

Today I will share a research report that studies the daily returns of Bitcoin the day after purchase over a span of 13 years, from May 1, 2013, to May 8, 2026.

If only focusing on single days and ignoring any holidays, the highest returns are on Monday and Wednesday, at 0.38%, while Thursday shows negative returns!

The highest returns after U.S. holidays are 0.77%!

The best days to buy Bitcoin

Among them, New Year's Day performs the best, with about 2% returns and an 84.6% win rate, followed by Veterans Day in the U.S., with 1.75% returns and an 84.6% win rate, third is Columbus Day, with 1.7%; Christmas is 1.46%, with a 53.8% win rate. =0.538

Two holidays show negative returns, Independence Day with -0.26%, and Martin Luther King Jr. Day with -0.84%.

Next is the comparison between weekdays and weekends; the situation is similar, with the average return on the day after a weekday being +0.21%, and +0.22% on weekends! Because the crypto market never sleeps, operating 24 hours.

Additionally, the report mentions that after holding for 365 days, short-term effects disappear! I think this is obvious; if you hold for a long time, the day of the week no longer influences you.

Finally, the report provides specific win rates, which you can review yourself.

Although this report is quite brief, it still gives me some insights.

First, if you choose dollar-cost averaging, it might be better to do so during holidays, since there are at least 13 years of data supporting this.

Second, with the rise of institutional research and AI, making money in the market through big data has become easier. This is actually very unfavorable for retail investors.

Think about it: quantitative research institutions are like money-squeezing machines, constantly pulling money out of the market. They use big data; even if they only make 0.7% per trade, over a year, that’s terrifying! And market funds are limited, retail investors don’t have such “advanced” tools, so I believe the market will become increasingly difficult in the future! Things that could be manually traded profitably before will also become harder!

Before, with fewer institutions and less powerful AI, you might have been able to “pick up leaks,” but the future will really get tougher.

I’ve said many times before that the current situation in 2026 is clearly more difficult than in 2022. During 2023-2024, I kept saying the market was getting harder, and now that feeling is accelerating!

So this forces you to either become stronger with more advanced perspectives or have more powerful tools! How to respond specifically? I think only by being forced to grow, to look at more macro trends, more information, develop stronger tools, and craft stricter strategies—there’s no other way!

The future is brutal, and the current situation isn’t easy—improve a little every day! Keep going, let’s grow together!