24% of jobs will shrink, but people still need to be there; human-machine collaboration is the norm.

Research by OpenAI on over 900 professions shows that the impact of AI on the labor market is not as pessimistic as imagined. Although high-risk jobs such as data entry, bookkeeping, and customer service account for about 18%, the tasks handled by AI in these occupations are three times those of other professions, and the unemployment growth rate is lower than that of low-risk groups. The reason lies in consumer elasticity: after AI reduces output costs, demand for related services often grows rapidly, offsetting layoffs. Occupations are divided into four categories: 46% outside of high risk are almost unaffected, 24% may shrink but require human-led intervention, and 12% expand due to AI proliferation. Currently, less than a quarter of high-risk groups are actually utilizing AI capabilities.