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#Polymarket每日热点做空 OpenAI narrative, buying into an Anthropic rebound.
Judging by Polymarket’s live odds, the probability that OpenAI gets out in front (about 80%) is clearly overstated—this is a classic overreaction in a “news market.” In reality, OpenAI isn’t a solid block: its CFO is cautious about going public, and the CFI just resigned last week. By contrast, Anthropic’s valuation has already surpassed OpenAI in the secondary market—this is a real, dollar-and-cents vote from “smart money.”