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Here is a guy's prediction, a crazy forecast, but I somewhat agree with his point of view
【Retirement Statement】 No breach of 1.5K, directly quitting the scene, this time betting with the main force openly!
Don’t look now, around 2,100 seems to be holding steady, but the bloodiness of this shakeout has just begun. On May 14, the Senate Banking Committee passed the CLARITY Act 15-9, shouting about regulatory dividends across the internet, but what happened? A big bearish candle immediately wiped out all the bulls physically. This is the standard “good news implementation, bear hell.”
Today I lay it out: within 2 months (by the end of July), Ethereum must break 1.5K. If it doesn’t, I’ll delete my account and quit the scene, never touching cryptocurrencies again.
This is not emotional; I’ll break down the underlying political and liquidation logic:
1. Warsh’s new “political purism” after taking office
The new Federal Reserve Chair just took over the reins on May 15, and he wants to prove to Washington that he’s not just Trump’s echo. His policy stance this week will definitely be extremely cold. The market is betting he will delay rate cuts for political independence, but if he keeps this up, breaking the 2,000 integer mark, dozens of billions of dollars in long leverage on-chain will trigger a chain of physical liquidations instantly.
2. Trump’s midterm election “deep squat politics”
In November, midterm elections will be held. If you are a White House aide, would you let the price rise smoothly from the current 2,100? Voters wouldn’t feel anything. The most politically beneficial script is to, in June, cooperate with Warsh to sharply smash the price down to around 1.5k (1.5K), creating a suffocating “doomsday panic.” Then, in the golden window of August to October, with the bill officially legislated and epic liquidity injections, push the price back to 4,000. A 300% V-shaped reversal, the most perfect political achievement.
3. 60-day technical review vacuum
The CLARITY Act is now handed over for full chamber vote, but Democrats will definitely stall on anti-money laundering (AML) clauses, forcing a technical freeze. This vacuum period is the perfect excuse for the main force to smash out the “golden bloodbath pit.”
Don’t talk to me about the blue support at 2,110; that place can’t stop premeditated targeted clearing. 2,000 must break, and the liquidation needle at 1.5K is Trump’s last cheap first-class ticket for the outside old money.
The words are here, answer within 70 days
Either 1.5K is seen, or I quit the scene!