Crypto Circle Academician: On 5.21, Bitcoin consolidates and gathers strength, ready to break out. Is the major breakout window about to officially open? Latest market analysis and trading suggestions

Bitcoin's current price is 77,500, with the daily K-line below EMA15 and EMA30, and the moving average system showing a downward arrangement, indicating a short-term bearish trend. Although the MACD indicator DIF remains above DEA, the red histogram continues to shrink, showing insufficient upward momentum, and overall it stays below the zero line, so the downward trend remains unchanged. The middle band of the Bollinger Bands at 79,437 is moving downward, exerting strong pressure on the price, with the lower band at 76,265 providing support. The current price is below the Bollinger middle band, with weak rebounds, and short-term downside risk persists.

Since falling from the high of 82,828 on the four-hour K-line, the price has entered a oscillating downward channel. Currently at 77,489, it is above EMA15 but below EMA30. Although the short-term moving averages show signs of turning, resistance above remains heavy. The MACD DIF has broken above DEA, with increasing red bars, indicating a short-term rebound demand, but overall it remains below the zero line, limiting rebound space. The Bollinger Bands are narrowing, with the price oscillating between 76,153 and 78,062, with fierce competition around the middle band at 77,107. Short-term, the price may continue to oscillate within this range.

Short-term trading ideas: Follow the major cycle trend, with quick stops and quick entries/exits.

Support below at 76,800 to 76,300, stop-loss at 76,000, target at 77,500 to 78,200.

Resistance above at 77,800 to 78,200, with a stop-loss at 78,700, target at 77,000 to 76,500.

Is the feeling of being caught in a long-short trap happening again? I understand, I’ve made this mistake too: chasing after red candles, selling on green, ending up chasing in the middle and selling at the bottom—getting hit from both sides. Looking back now, it’s not the market’s problem, it’s our impatience. Always thinking about getting rich overnight but unable to even do basic stop-loss; always believing we can bottom-take or top-sell, only to be taught a lesson by the market every time. In the crypto world, the most useless thing is thinking you’re right; the most useful is admitting you’re wrong. Don’t stubbornly hold onto losses, don’t greedily hold large positions for small profits—controlling your hands and protecting your capital is more important than anything. If you lose this time, consider it a lesson; don’t make the same mistake again next time, and it won’t be a total loss. $BTC ‌#30年期美债收益率突破5%