Wu Says learned that the Federal Reserve’s release of the minutes from the April FOMC meeting shows that officials generally believe inflation is still above the 2% target. Inflation risks are being pushed higher by rising energy prices, conflicts in the Middle East, tariffs, and cost pressures stemming from AI-related investments. Most officials expect that the time needed for inflation to fall back to the target level will be longer than previously anticipated. Although overall economic activity remains solid and AI-related capital expenditures continue to support growth, there are risks of weakening in the labor market, and some companies may slow hiring due to economic uncertainty or AI technology adoption. Most officials also said that if inflation remains persistently above the target, further tightening of policy may be needed in the future; if inflation eases or the labor market worsens significantly, it may be appropriate to cut interest rates.

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PettyLp
· 34m ago
If tariffs drive inflation in this chain, how would Trump’s policies shift if he were to come into office?
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TheStoneBehindTheVolcano
· 8h ago
Inflation stickiness is stronger than expected, and the expectation of interest rate cuts has been pushed further back, putting short-term pressure on risk assets.
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StainedGlassSun
· 8h ago
The logic that AI investment drives up costs is quite interesting; the tech bull market and macro tightening can actually coexist.
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PixelPnl
· 8h ago
If the job market really crashes, the rate of interest rate cuts could be faster than rate hikes, leading to even greater volatility in the crypto world.
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BluePeonyDoesn'tDrop
· 8h ago
Most officials' wording suggests that the probability of a rate cut in September needs to be recalculated.
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FeeswitchWhisperer
· 8h ago
The minutes repeatedly mention AI, and it seems the Federal Reserve is also paying attention to the bubble risk in tech stocks.
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