43% chance to hit 110, Polymarket dares to bet compared to analysts

As of the week ending May 15, U.S. EIA crude oil inventories decreased by 7.86M barrels, below the expected -2.94M barrels, and also below the previous value of -4.31M barrels, marking the largest decline in history; during the same week, SPR inventories also saw the largest decline ever. Polymarket shows that this month, the probabilities of WTI crude oil closing at $110, $120, and $130 per day are 43%, 19%, and 8%, respectively.