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The market is easier than we think. It all depends on one thing only - the demand to buy and the demand to sell, or what is called supply and demand, which drives the prices of everything from stocks, gold, oil, to digital assets.
After observing the market for a while, I see that some people are trying to buy, some are trying to sell, and the prices end up in the middle. It’s as simple as a game of hitting between two sides.
Think of it this way - demand is when everyone wants to buy, and prices go up. Supply is when everyone wants to sell, and prices go down. When both sides are balanced, the price stops. This basic understanding will help you see what is really happening in the market.
What’s interesting is that the factors driving demand are very diverse - interest rates, news, information, investor confidence. Even old news can have an impact. As for supply, it depends on costs, technology, tax policies, and production capacity.
I’ve seen a clear example when the Strait of Hormuz closed, reducing the amount of oil flowing by over 20% globally. But energy demand remained the same. The result was a rapid price spike. This is a shortage of supply driving the market.
For traders, why is this important? If you understand supply and demand well, you can see where prices are headed next. When buying pressure is strong, prices go up. When selling pressure is strong, prices go down. When both sides fight, prices stay still.
Finding support and resistance, analyzing price trends, candlestick analysis—all come down to understanding which side wins in this supply and demand game.
What I’ve learned is that trading isn’t about guessing prices. It’s about reading the market’s demand, understanding what’s happening with supply and demand at this moment, and making decisions before the price moves.