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The U.S. once again "missed the hour" to strike Iran, and the true winner has long been no longer on the battlefield.
"Only an hour away from ordering the attack."
On May 19th, Trump personally announced: canceling the military strike on Iran, citing requests from Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and the UAE to pause. The military remains on standby, with the core condition unchanged—Iran must not develop nuclear weapons.
And on Iran’s side? The latest proposal on nuclear enrichment shows no substantial concessions.
It's the familiar story: Iran resists—U.S. threats—final warning—cancellation.
But this time, there's a detail worth pondering: the CFTC investigated abnormal trading in crude oil futures market just hours before the strike, initially pinpointing at least three institutions.
Military action didn't happen, but financial regulation did.
Those who truly plan to strike won't tell the whole world in advance, "I'm about to attack."
Those who really act are silent, quietly, waking you up in your sleep with an explosion.
And now, this script keeps repeating, only proving one thing—
The U.S. government itself is exploiting the expectation of "an imminent war" to repeatedly harvest real profits.
Who placed heavy bets on the crude oil futures fluctuations?
Who knew in advance that "it will be canceled but pretend to attack"?
Who always manages to buy low and sell high with precision?
I don't know the answer, but the CFTC clearly wants to find out.
This endless delaying game, who benefits more?
The real big winners are those capitalists who can always accurately predict "it won't happen."
They spread panic in the market, pushing up crude oil and gold prices, while knowing better than anyone that no real attack will happen in the end—because they might have known about the "missed by an hour" news three days in advance.
Iran is racing against time to develop nuclear weapons, Wall Street is racing against time to generate wealth. The difference is, the latter has already succeeded.
Every time this cycle repeats, the news of U.S. plans to strike devalues once more.
When one day Iran crosses the red line and the U.S. wants to use deterrence to make its opponent back down—
Sorry, no one will believe it anymore.
The same applies to the cryptocurrency market.
You think geopolitical tensions will cause BTC to rise as a safe haven, so you rush in.
But when the news comes out that they won't strike, you get caught in a spike and get liquidated.
You think you're betting on war, but in reality, you're betting against a group of people who already know the script in advance.
The Iran-U.S. negotiation window can close at any time, but the capital harvesting window is always open. #中东局势