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I just realized that candlestick reading is really very important for anyone who wants to succeed in Forex trading because, in fact, many traders can make a lot of profit just by looking at candlesticks alone, without needing any additional tools.
First of all, let's understand what a candlestick chart is because it is the foundation of everything. A candlestick chart consists of individual candlesticks, each of which tells us about the price movement over a certain period. Each candlestick shows the opening price, closing price, highest price, and lowest price. This can be used whether in a 15-minute, 1-hour, or even weekly timeframe.
What’s interesting is that if the closing price is higher than the opening price, you will see a white candlestick, which indicates that buying pressure dominated during that period. The longer the candlestick, the stronger the buying pressure. Conversely, if the closing price is lower than the opening price, a black candlestick appears, indicating that selling pressure dominated. A longer candlestick means stronger selling pressure.
The wick (or shadow) is the thin line extending from the candlestick. It shows how far the price has gone. If the wick is short, it means the price didn’t move far from the open and close prices. If the wick is long, it indicates a fierce battle between buyers and sellers.
Why are candlestick charts so good? First, they clearly show market sentiment through the buying and selling forces expressed in the form of candlesticks and wicks, unlike line charts or basic bar charts that provide less information. Second, they are very easy to understand, with clear patterns, and you can predict trends better. Using them together with other tools like trend lines or support and resistance levels makes it even better. Lastly, they are proven effective tools, used for over 200 years since Japanese rice traders in Osaka, some of whom even became samurai.
Now, let’s look at the basic candlestick patterns. There are three main types: Doji, Marubozu, and Spinning Top.
A Doji is a candlestick where the open and close prices are the same, indicating a balance between buying and selling forces. It can signal a potential trend reversal. There are several types of Doji, such as Gravestone Doji, which shows buying pressure trying to push prices up but being pushed down; Dragonfly Doji, which shows selling pressure trying to push prices down but being lifted; and Four Price Doji, which indicates no trading at all. Seeing a Doji after a long white candlestick might mean buying momentum is weakening, but it’s best to wait for the next candlestick to confirm.
Marubozu is a candlestick with no wicks at all. A full white Marubozu indicates that buying pressure dominated the entire period, with the open at the lowest price and close at the highest. A full black Marubozu indicates strong selling pressure.
A Spinning Top has a small body with long wicks on both the top and bottom, showing market indecision. Buying and selling forces are battling but no one wins. If it appears in an uptrend, it might mean buying momentum is weakening and a reversal to a downtrend could happen.
Once you understand the basics, let’s look at single-candle patterns. Two important ones are Hammer and Hanging Man.
The Hammer appears in a downtrend and looks like a hammer. It indicates that selling pressure is weakening and buying is returning, possibly signaling a reversal from down to up, but confirmation from the next candle is needed.
The Hanging Man appears in an uptrend and looks similar to a Hammer but has the opposite meaning. It suggests that buying pressure is waning and selling is returning, indicating a potential reversal from up to down.
The Inverted Hammer appears in a downtrend, showing buying attempts to push prices up despite selling pressure. It’s a potential reversal signal.
The Shooting Star appears in an uptrend and is the opposite of the Inverted Hammer, showing selling attempts to push prices down despite buying pressure.
After understanding single candles, let’s look at two-candle patterns. Bullish Engulfing is a black candle followed by a much larger white candle, indicating a clear reversal from down to up. Bearish Engulfing is the opposite: a white candle followed by a larger black candle, signaling a reversal from up to down.
Tweezer Tops and Tweezer Bottoms are named after their pincers-like appearance. Tweezer Tops consist of a rising candle followed by a falling candle with equal-length wicks, indicating a trend reversal from up to down. Tweezer Bottoms are the opposite, indicating a reversal from down to up.
Once you understand two-candle patterns, move on to more complex three-candle patterns. Evening Star is a reversal signal from up to down, consisting of a long bullish candle, a Doji, and a long bearish candle that is at least half the length of the first. Morning Star is the opposite, indicating a reversal from down to up.
Three White Soldiers is a bullish reversal pattern with three increasingly long white candles, showing increasing buying strength. Three Black Crows is the opposite, with three increasingly long black candles indicating increasing selling pressure.
Three Inside Up is a reversal pattern from down to up, consisting of a long bearish candle, a smaller bullish candle, and a bullish candle that closes above the high of the first. Three Inside Down is the opposite.
In summary, candlestick patterns come in many types, but the basics involve observing the color of the candles, their length, and the wicks, then recognizing the patterns they form—whether single, double, or triple candles. However, always remember that the success rate of candlestick signals is below 50%, so it’s essential to consider multiple factors such as market conditions, fundamental factors, and other conditions before making trading decisions.