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This is one of the most overlooked metrics out there.
The 30-year US Treasury yield is at 5.177% now, even higher than the 2000s era.
US Treasuries are framed as a "risk-free" investment. In short, you get a fixed return with almost zero risk, backed by the US government.
The problem lies in the risk premium, which is the extra return you demand for choosing a riskier investment over the risk-free one.
If the risk-free rate, with no drawdowns, is only slightly below the returns of risky assets, why bother with the volatility?
That applies to both BTC and the S&P 500.
Especially now, with crypto in a bear market and the S&P 500 at ATH, this could trigger massive selling pressure.
Let's see whether Trump and the Fed do anything about it.