Recently, I've seen people again using "on-chain coincidence transfers" as conspiracy theories to flood the screen. Actually, many of these can be explained when broken down: A first transfers a transaction from CEX to a new wallet, then after a while, it is split into several segments and sent to a relay contract, finally converging into the same aggregator or cross-chain bridge. When the timings are close together, it appears as if they are "colluding."

I usually start by tracing the common routing of the funds, then check if they are the same set of tools (same templates, same nonce rhythm), otherwise it’s very easy to be screenshot and run away with it.
Currently, in the group, whenever there’s a rumor about stablecoin regulation, reserve audits, or "de-pegging," as soon as it’s shared, everyone’s emotions spike. I understand that… but the more panicked we are, the more we should first clarify the path, and also check if the Gas fees are reasonable. That’s all for now.