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Current market environment: (strategy from my quant bot)
Shorting is allowed,
but aggressive longing is not supported.
$BTC 4H structure still looks weak.
Rejected above 80k,
75k-76k remains key support.
BTC.D is still high,
not friendly to altcoins.
On the macro level, there are no signs of a clear recovery:
• 10Y US Treasuries remain elevated
• DXY still strong
• Nasdaq is pulling back
• Geopolitical risks persist
Additionally:
5/20 FOMC minutes are approaching.
In this window of time,
I actively reduce my positions.
Current system assessment:
Longing altcoins: default not doing it.
Shorting altcoins: allowed, but must wait for the setup.
Today’s focus:
$HYPE
The strategy is simple:
49.5 - 50 range
consider scaling into shorts.
No preemptive shorts.
No chasing shorts.
At these integer levels,
it’s easy to sweep liquidity before a pullback.
I prefer to wait for:
• 15m long wick
or
• a drop back below 49.5 for confirmation
Stop-loss reference:
Aggressive: 50.35
Conservative: 50.6
Targets:
TP1: 48.5
TP2: around 47
Extreme weak market: 45
In a nutshell:
Now is not the time for mindless altcoin pushes.
If you want to short, you need to wait for the right structure. #TradfiTradingChallenge