#特朗普推迟打击伊朗 President Trump delays striking Iran, temporarily easing market risk aversion fears and boosting a rebound in cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin. But this is just a “temporary relief,” far from a celebration, because the fundamental issues remain unresolved, and high volatility continues to be the main theme.

Below is the specific impact chain of this event on the crypto market:

· 📈 Short-term: Emotional recovery, price rebound. The previous extreme panic of “war imminent” has been alleviated, and funds are flowing back into risk assets. Bitcoin rebounded from about $79,200 to $80,000 within an hour after the news and stabilized in the $76,900 - $77,200 range. The previous plunge (such as the more than 3% drop in mainstream coins on May 16) was promptly halted, and the market is temporarily stabilizing.
· ⛓️ Indirect transmission: Oil prices and interest rate pressures are temporarily eased. The conflict delay has cooled the high oil prices near $110 per barrel. This alleviates market concerns about runaway inflation and reduces the urgency for the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates further or keep rates high (which is an indirect positive for liquidity-dependent crypto markets).
· ⚠️ Medium-term: Alerts remain, risks hidden. The current calm is extremely fragile, merely a “reprieve”:
· Limited rebound height: Facing strong resistance at $80,000, difficult to break through previous highs.
· Potential for sudden change: If there is no substantive progress in diplomacy within two weeks, the probability of renewed conflict is as high as 60%. If Bitcoin falls below the $75,000 support, it could drop to $72,000 or even lower.

In simple terms, the market’s reaction logic is very clear: no war → buy risk assets; war could break out at any time → stay alert. So, the short-term rebound is an opportunity, but be sure to buckle up and closely monitor weekend negotiations.

Currently, some opinions in the market have proposed a more imaginative long-term trend — “Oil Bitcoin,” what the heck is that?