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Li Mingyang's Analysis and Layout on 5.19 Midday
Trend structure: Previously surged high and faced resistance then pulled back, forming a clear downward trend. After the decline, there was a slight rebound at low levels, with the overall market in weak oscillation and consolidation. The rebound strength is weak and unable to reverse the bearish pattern. Volume structure: During the decline phase, volume increased on the way down; during the rebound phase, volume decreased on the way up. The buying power of bulls is insufficient, and selling pressure from bears still exists, making it difficult to form a strong unilateral upward movement in the short term. Market rhythm: Prices fluctuate within key high and low zones, with balanced bulls and bears, repeatedly shaking out traders, showing strong oscillation characteristics. Before a breakout, the market mainly continues to fluctuate within the range.
1. The market is in a downward consolidation and rebound phase, not a bottom reversal. The stabilization at low levels is only a short-term correction; without signs of stabilization and bottoming, heavy positions should not be accumulated for a bottom pick. 2. The crypto market is heavily influenced by capital sentiment, overall market trends, and news flow; within the range, fluctuations mainly involve capital shaking out and accumulating positions. 3. The best strategy in oscillation is to buy high and sell low; strictly avoid chasing rallies or panic selling. After a clear breakthrough of key resistance or support, switch to trend-following trading. 4. Contract trading risk control is prioritized; leverage should not be too high during oscillations to avoid double-sided losses. Strictly control positions and stop-loss levels.
BTC Short-term Range
Long: 76200-76500 Stop-loss: 75950 Take profit: 77800-78000
Short: 77800-78100 Stop-loss: 78650 Take profit: 76500-76800
Trend Breakthrough
Break above and stabilize above 78200 to go long, stop-loss at 77700, targets at 79500, 81000
Break below and fall below 76000 to go short, stop-loss at 76500, targets at 75000, 73500
ETH Short-term Range
Long: 2085-2100 Stop-loss: 2070 Take profit: 2165-2180
Short: 2175-2190 Stop-loss: 2210 Take profit: 2105-2130
Trend Breakthrough
Break above and stabilize above 2190 to go long, stop-loss at 2160, targets at 2250, 2350
Break below and fall below 2080 to go short, stop-loss at 2115, targets at 2000, 1900
Overall market trend: Currently, the market is in a weak adjustment state. The bullish rebound momentum is severely lacking, and market sentiment is cautious. It is difficult to see a clear unilateral trend in the short term. The oscillation within the range is highly repetitive, prone to false breakouts, and market uncertainty is high. Traders are reminded to maintain a calm mindset, avoid blindly following the trend with heavy positions, and refrain from rushing to chase rallies or panic sell for short-term profits. Prioritize light positions and short-term trading, strictly follow profit-taking and stop-loss rules, and control your positions and leverage well. Until a clear trend direction emerges, stay cautious, trade small positions, and view market fluctuations rationally. All operations should be cautious and prudent, avoiding unnecessary risks. The market is unpredictable, so trade carefully, invest rationally, and avoid various trading risks. $ETH