For the 2026 NBA Champion, I bet on the Thunder. Currently, I think the expected value is mismatched.

Today, the Thunder lost, and the championship probability dropped from 62% to 41%.
One game really doesn't reveal much, but it's emotional, and that's the mismatch.
The Spurs' double overtime victory at Thunder's home court 🤣 is definitely a historic-level game, with Wembanyama putting up ancient beast Bill Russell's stats.
To cut to the chase, the championship will come from either the Spurs or the Thunder; other teams have no chance!
The reason the Spurs could win today is because Wembanyama and the main lineup pushed themselves to the limit.
Wembanyama played a full 49 minutes, and the entire Spurs team almost relied on willpower during double overtime.
As the No. 1 seed in the West, the Thunder's most terrifying aspect is their roster depth and fault tolerance.
Today, the Thunder forced their way into double overtime despite being behind, showing that in tactical execution and lower limit assurance, they are still more stable.
Game 2 is in two days. After such high-intensity consumption, can young Wembanyama maintain beast-level output on the road?
I don't think so 😜
Although the Thunder lost today, their main players performed normally.
Sga scored 24 points, Jalen contributed 26 points, and Caruso shot 8-for-14 from three, scoring 31 points.
I think the loss was due to Chet. He was soft against Wembanyama, only scoring 8 points.
But losing two games at home is something a defending champion would never allow.
In Game 2, the Thunder will likely come out with maximum defensive intensity and aggression from the start.
I’m not optimistic about Fox; I’ve watched him play since he was with the Kings.
He’s not a player born for big moments.
#GateHundredUWarGod @Gate_zh