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Is Elon Musk finally going to "sell the sky"? The IPO date for SpaceX—I'm betting this day will be the most shocking!
Recently, the most outrageous rumor on Wall Street isn't about rate cuts or AI, but—SpaceX might really go public.
And the market has even started to leak specific dates: June 12th, Nasdaq, ticker SPCX.
Once the news broke, investors worldwide instantly entered "collective fantasy mode."
Because everyone knows very well, if SpaceX actually goes public, it might not be an ordinary IPO, but a "nuclear bomb" in the annual earth capital market.
The question is: will it really go public so soon?
My personal prediction is:
The earliest action might be taken this summer, but a formal IPO is unlikely before the end of 2026.
The reason is simple.
Elon Musk loves big headlines, but he loves "control" even more.
Just look at Tesla over the years. One of Musk’s biggest dislikes is Wall Street obsessing over quarterly earnings reports.
And SpaceX’s current core advantage is precisely "not being chased by the capital market on a quarterly basis."
Especially since the Starship project is still in a crazy money-burning phase. Going public now would be like inviting global analysts to ask every day:
"How many rockets blew up today?"
More importantly, SpaceX’s valuation is already ridiculously high.
The primary market is almost treating it as an "off-world state-owned enterprise." Going public too early could easily lead to a problem:
Expectations flying even faster than rockets.
So I lean more towards thinking that releasing the IPO news now is more like testing market sentiment.
If global funds chase madly and valuations continue to rise, SpaceX might actually delay further.
Because for Musk:
Not going public still means someone is eager to throw money at you.
But if I had to pick the most likely timing, I’d guess:
Around 2027.
Why?
Because by then, Starship commercialization, Starlink cash flow, NASA orders, and military collaborations will be more mature. At that point, SpaceX will no longer be talking about a "dream story," but about a "space printing press."
By then, it might not be a hundred-billion-dollar IPO, but a super beast that "redefines the capital market."
In one sentence:
The market’s biggest urgency now is investors, not Musk.
And Musk’s greatest skill is making the whole world wait and get excited at the same time. #Polymarket每日热点 #