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A publicly listed company's BTC holdings have surpassed those of the world's largest asset manager's ETF.
Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) holds 815,061 BTC. BlackRock's IBIT ETF holds 802,823 BTC. A $2.5 billion buy-in in April marked this historic crossover.
Many are celebrating. But I want to say something different.
These two numbers together expose a structural issue: the supply side of the big coin is being locked up by a few giant entities. Strategy and BlackRock together control over 1.6 million BTC, which accounts for 7.6% of the total supply. Add in other public companies and ETFs, and institutions control about 12% of the BTC supply—up from 9% last year.
Is this bullish for the price? In the short term, yes. A reduced circulating supply means that the same buying pressure can push prices higher.
But what about the long term? The original narrative of Bitcoin was about being decentralized "people's money." Now, the largest holders are a Nasdaq-listed company and a Wall Street ETF giant. What would Satoshi say?
The more practical risk lies in reflexivity. Strategy's stock price is highly correlated with BTC, and it is the largest single holder of BTC. When prices rise, it's a leverage amplifier; when they fall, it’s a systemic bomb. If Strategy is forced to sell coins (say, due to debt maturity), that selling pressure is not something the average market can absorb.
Decentralized assets, centralized holdings. This is the biggest contradiction for Bitcoin in 2026, and it's something many people are reluctant to face.
#TradfiTradingChallenge