Why did it fall? Because three heavy blows struck simultaneously, leaving the bulls helpless.


First blow: Trump called out on social media, and the Middle East situation escalated overnight.
The most direct trigger for today's sharp decline was Trump posting on Truth Social that "if peace negotiations continue to stalemate, military action will be taken against Iran."
This statement appeared over the weekend, directly sparking a risk-off wave after the Asian market opened.
Tensions in the Strait of Hormuz have persisted for weeks, with previous brief clashes between U.S. warships and Iranian armed forces.
According to reports from CCTV News and other media, the Pentagon is preparing to resume military operations against Iran, with the U.S. and Israel possibly restarting military strikes as early as next week.
An Iranian parliamentary official recently revealed that Iran is ready to open the Strait of Hormuz only to "partner countries" and charge fees.
This strait handles about one-third of the world's oil shipments, posing a clear threat to international trade.
The immediate consequence of a disrupted oil and gas supply chain is a widespread increase in global inflation expectations, with international oil prices continuing to rise, and Brent crude oil surpassing $108.
Second blow: The 30-year U.S. Treasury yield broke through 5.1%, causing collective panic in financial markets.
Amid rising geopolitical risks, U.S. Treasury yields surged sharply.
Previously, when the 30-year U.S. Treasury yield exceeded 5% historically, it almost invariably triggered a "risk-off" sell-off in global financial markets, with investors selling stocks, cryptocurrencies, and other risk assets, shifting to gold, the dollar, and other traditional safe havens.
Today’s situation is exactly that: the 30-year U.S. Treasury yield climbed above 5.1%, directly depressing the valuation of all risk assets.
Gold fell below $4,500, South Korea’s stock market triggered a circuit breaker, and U.S. stock index futures collectively declined.
This is not an independent collapse of the crypto market but a chain reaction of global risk assets being sold off simultaneously.
GLDX-4.96%
View Original
This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
  • Reward
  • Comment
  • Repost
  • Share
Comment
Add a comment
Add a comment
No comments
  • Pinned