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【Precise Long and Short Entry Point Trading Guide】
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【Analysis Cycle】
Main analysis cycle: 4H (4 hours)
Auxiliary confirmation cycles: 1H (1 hour), 15M (15 minutes)
Recommended validity period: valid within 12 hours (re-analyze if expired)
【1. Short-term Long (Rebound) Precise Entry Points】
1. Entry Range: 77200-77500
- Logic: After rebounding from the 24-hour low of 76591.6, the price is currently in a weak correction zone below EMA20. The 15M EMA has formed a short-term golden cross, and MACD is turning red. This range is a reasonable pullback entry point after a rebound initiation.
2. Stop-loss Level: 76400
- Logic: Breaking below the 24-hour new low of 76591.6 indicates the short-term rebound signal has failed, and the bearish trend will continue.
3. Take-profit Levels:
- First target: 78200 (corresponds to the 4H EMA20 resistance at 78250.1, leaving a small margin of error)
- Second target: 78800 (above the 4H Bollinger middle band at 78272.7, if rebound momentum is strong, consider aiming for this level)
【2. Main Trend Short (Swing) Precise Entry Points】
1. Entry Range: 78200-78500
- Logic: The 4H EMA20 and Bollinger middle band both form strong resistance in this range, and the main trend is bearish. A rebound to this zone is likely to face resistance and fall back.
2. Stop-loss Level: 79000
- Logic: If the price breaks above the 4H EMA60 resistance at 79245.1, it indicates a possible trend reversal, and a stop-loss is necessary.
3. Take-profit Levels:
- First target: 77000 (recent rebound starting point)
- Second target: 76500 (24-hour low + Bollinger lower band support; if broken, target 76000)
【3. Range-bound Trading (Intraday Short-term)】
If the price consolidates within 77000-78000, a high sell and low buy strategy can be employed:
- Long at low: Entry at 77000-77200, stop-loss at 76800, take-profit at 77800
- Short at high: Entry at 77800-78000, stop-loss at 78200, take-profit at 77200
【4. Key Signal Confirmation】
- Bullish signal confirmation: 15M EMA golden cross continues + MACD histogram enlarges + price stabilizes above 77500
- Bearish signal confirmation: After reaching 78200 on the 4H chart, a bearish candle appears with pressure + MACD histogram enlarges downward
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⚠️ Disclaimer: The above levels are derived from technical analysis. Market can have sudden fluctuations. Please adjust according to real-time行情, strictly implement stop-loss, and bear the profit and loss yourself.
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