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Late at night, I was browsing on the chain and my eyes started to dry out. I saw a certain coin suddenly spike, and my hands started to itch...
Now I will first pause for three seconds and ask myself: Am I adding to my position because I genuinely see new information (on-chain fund flows, contract changes, interest rate differences), or am I simply being led by that candlestick to have my heartbeat accelerate?
Honestly, when emotions push my position, I’m most likely to find a bunch of "reasons" for myself at the high point.
Recently, everyone has been complaining again about miner/validator income and MEV causing unfair ordering.
I can also understand that—obviously, for the same transaction, being placed earlier or later makes a big difference.
Retail investors feel like they’re wrestling with an invisible hand...
Anyway, when I encounter abnormal transfers or sudden slippage increases, I immediately pull back and observe first.
As for trusting data or intuition, I trust data a little more.
Intuition is too easily polluted by late nights and FOMO; at least data won't become more appealing just because I’m hyped up.
Let’s leave it at that for now.