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USDT's dominant position is currently at a very critical juncture. On the weekly chart, the index has swept through the lower end of the range, closed back inside the range, and then formed a bullish engulfing weekly candle, completely covering the previous bearish weekly candle.
USDT.D is currently near the 7.6% daily resistance level, with a downward trend line from the high. If the dominance is blocked here, Bitcoin still has some breathing room, potentially pushing up to our expected target range of 84K-85K, which is also where we plan to short. But if USDT.D successfully recovers this level, Bitcoin's bearish outlook will become even more pronounced, with less than a 20% chance of returning to these levels.
This is also why the 75K-76K zone is so important for Bitcoin. If Bitcoin loses this area and USDT.D breaks above 7.6%, the next real target is 64K, followed by forming a new low. #TradFi交易分享挑战 #美伊谈判前景堪忧