$ONDO ONDO is a leader in the RWA track, with solid fundamentals but suppressed by large unlocks, showing short-term volatility and potential institutional catalysts in the medium to long term.

1. Core Fundamental Logic (Determines Strategy Direction)

1. Advantages (Main Logic for Going Long) - RWA track TVL is first, managing over $3.6 billion in assets, the protocol remains profitable, Q1 revenue exceeded $13 million, and market cap/locked position ratio is significantly undervalued
- Institutional Catalysts: End of SEC investigation, advancement of spot ETF applications, Ondo mainnet launch, with 2026-2027 as the core favorable window
- The token has the yield characteristics of U.S. Treasury bonds, not just a narrative, with strong long-term capital commitment certainty
2. Risks (Must Strictly Control Positions) - Large token unlocks in the early stage, increased circulating supply, long-term selling pressure
- Short-term RSI decline, weak MACD, technical indicators in a high-level correction phase, with extreme volatility
- When the overall crypto market weakens, ONDO shows very strong correlation

2. Spot Trading Strategy (Prioritize Stability, Suitable for Most People)

1. Short-term Strategy (Hold 1-14 days, quick in and out)

Entry Conditions

- Rebound to **$0.32-$0.33** strong support and stabilize, build positions in batches, total position not exceeding 15% of funds
- Aggressive: Hold above $0.38, confirm breakout before lightly adding
Stop Loss: Unified stop loss at $0.28, exit unconditionally if broken, to avoid deep correction
Take Profit
- First target: $0.42-$0.45 (reduce 50%)
- Second target: $0.48-$0.50 (close all positions)

2. Medium-term Strategy (Hold 1-6 months, trend swing)

Entry Conditions

- Weekly chart retracement in the **$0.30-$0.35** range, build positions in 3 batches, total position controlled within 30%
- Wait for daily chart to stabilize above $0.45, confirm trend reversal before adding
Stop Loss: Weekly close below $0.25, completely abandon medium-term logic
Take Profit
- First target: $0.60-$0.65 (reduce)
- Second target: $0.80 (close all, corresponding to historical high at 50%)

3. Long-term Strategy (Hold over 1 year, faith allocation)

Entry Conditions: Bottom range of $0.28-$0.35, invest in 5 batches, total position not exceeding 5% of total assets (sector allocation, not heavy)
Stop Loss: Major fundamental issues (TVL plummets, institutions abandon cooperation), otherwise no stop loss
Take Profit

- Conservative target: $1.0
- Aggressive target: $1.5 (corresponds to full RWA sector explosion)

4. Core Trading Discipline (Determines Profit and Loss)

1. Position Management: Short-term ≤15%, medium-term ≤30%, long-term ≤5%, strictly avoid heavy concentration in one shot
2. Stop Loss Must Be Used: ONDO has extremely high volatility, no stop loss easily leads to deep traps
3. News Tracking: Focus on SEC ETF approval, institutional fund entry, token unlock announcements
4. No chasing highs: Refuse to enter when RSI exceeds 70, only buy on dips and retracements

Investing involves risks; enter the market cautiously.