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#Polymarket每日热点 On May 18th, spot gold fell below the 4,500 USD level, dropping to a low of 4,484 USD, with jewelry prices declining in tandem. The main reasons for the decline are a strengthening US dollar, rising US Treasury yields, US CPI exceeding expectations triggering rate hike expectations, and continuous ETF outflows. Short-term negative factors are being released collectively, and the market is expected to be volatile and weak, with the next support levels at 4,400-4,450 USD. However, there is still potential for new highs in the medium term, supported by ongoing central bank gold purchases (244 tons added in Q1), unchanged rate cut outlook, and increased institutional allocation demand. In terms of trading, exercise caution in the short term, seeking a bottom, while viewing the correction as an opportunity to gradually build positions in the medium term.