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If you look at the financial markets from a simple perspective, you'll see that everything depends on one thing: who wants to buy more and who wants to sell more. That is the principle of supply and demand, which is the fundamental engine driving the prices of everything from stocks, commodities, energy, gold, to digital assets.
This may sound complicated, but in reality, it's simpler than you think. Demand is the desire to buy, while supply is the desire to sell. When more people want to buy and there are fewer goods, prices go up. Conversely, when many want to sell and supply is abundant, prices fall. At the point where buying and selling are balanced, prices tend to stay steady.
Let's look at demand first. The desire to buy isn't solely dependent on price. Several factors come into play, such as income levels, confidence in the economy, opinions about the future, even seasons and news can have an impact. For example, when interest rates are low, investors often seek returns in the stock market, which increases demand.
As for supply, sellers are willing to offer more when prices are high and reduce the amount when prices are low because of production costs, technology, tax policies, and even weather conditions that affect the ability to deliver goods. For instance, when the Strait of Hormuz closes due to geopolitical tensions, over 20% of the world's oil passing through that point disappears from the market, drastically reducing supply. Meanwhile, energy demand remains the same, causing prices to spike rapidly.
Understanding this is really useful for investors. When we can predict how demand or supply will change, we can more accurately forecast the direction of prices. In fundamental analysis, we look at whether a company will grow or not, and what its profits will be, because these factors influence whether investors want to buy or sell more or fewer stocks.
In technical analysis, we use various tools to observe buying and selling pressure. Green candlesticks indicate buying dominance, red candlesticks indicate selling dominance. If prices keep making new highs, it shows demand is still strong. Conversely, if prices keep making new lows, it indicates supply is overpowering.
Applying this principle in actual trading involves techniques called Demand and Supply Zones, which identify points where the price loses balance. When prices move rapidly up or down, they create resistance or support, causing the price to pause within a range. When the momentum in the original direction returns strongly, the price breaks out of the range and continues moving, which is the moment traders can enter.
In summary, supply and demand are powerful tools for understanding the market. Whether you're a long-term investor or a short-term trader, learning to observe these signals will help you make better decisions. But remember, real-world testing with live prices will teach you more than just reading theories.