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Lately I keep seeing people watch large on-chain transfers and hot/cold wallets on exchanges, and then shout "Smart money is coming." Honestly, I envy that: they make a move like pushing a plot, I get nervous just confirming a transaction. But stay calm, moving wallets doesn't mean the project is reliable; it could just be relocating, doing risk control, or changing custodians.
If a newbie really wants to see "credibility," I actually trust three things more: don't just look at stars on GitHub, check if it's still being actively developed recently, and if anyone is truly reviewing; don't just screenshot the cover of an audit report, at least see if the scope is clearly written and if high-risk issues are fixed; and also look at multi-signature upgrades—who are the signers, what's the threshold, and can the contract be changed with a single click to alter everything. To put it simply, code is less likely to deceive, people are the ones who can. That's all for now, don’t get distracted by a string of transfers and forget to ask: who’s holding the keys?