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Deep Tide TechFlow News, May 17th, according to Jinshi reports, macro research institution TsLombard stated that in the face of oil price shocks, the extent of global central bank policy tightening may be quite limited, and an aggressive tightening cycle is unlikely to occur.
In the United States, the likelihood of the Federal Reserve implementing policy tightening in the short term is low, and even if it does, it is almost certain to be after 2027.
In Europe, energy shocks have already been dragging down economic activity.
The UK labor market has appeared unstable for some time, and European hiring sentiment has become increasingly weak.
The tightening measures by the European Central Bank and the Bank of England this year will be lower than market expectations, and this possibility is currently underestimated.