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I've always believed that the biggest issue with AGI right now isn't whether it will appear, but whether society is already prepared.
Due to the speed of technological evolution, we are experiencing the first clear surpassing of societal institutional change.
In the past few decades, most technological revolutions actually gave humanity time to adapt.
The internet took decades to truly reshape commerce, and smartphones also went through a long process of widespread adoption.
But the speed of AI's diffusion is entirely different; a new model could impact hundreds of millions of people worldwide within months.
This speed itself is a historic-level change.
So if you ask me whether I am a technological optimist, I would say I am a cautiously optimistic person.
I believe AGI will create enormous prosperity in the long run, but I don't think this process will happen smoothly.
Many people today actually underestimate the impact of AGI on real social structures, especially middle-tier professions.
In the past, machines mainly replaced physical labor; AI is now beginning to replace standardized mental work on a large scale for the first time.
Customer service, translation, basic analysis, some programming, initial design—these areas are already starting to see changes.
And the real problem is that society is not prepared for this speed.
I even think that in the next few years, the biggest risk may not be AGI itself, but the imbalance during the transition period.
That is, old structures are disappearing, but new structures have not yet been fully established.
Many people are still debating the definition of AGI, but I think by 2026, obsessing over strict definitions will no longer matter.
Because as long as AI can continuously replace more and more complex tasks, it is effectively already changing the fabric of civilization.
As for crypto and decentralization, I believe their core value in an AGI world is actually "reducing centralization risks."
Because the stronger AI becomes, the easier it is for computing power, data, and models to concentrate, and once intelligence is highly centralized, society will face huge asymmetries.
Therefore, open payment systems, on-chain identities, and decentralized networks may long-term serve not just as financial tools, but as mechanisms for power balance in the digital age.
But I also don't think everything needs to be on-chain; many AI + crypto narratives are actually quite far-fetched.
The truly important intersections mainly revolve around open payments, identities, and machine collaboration.
As for what individuals should prepare for, I actually think the most important thing is to cultivate continuous learning ability.
Because in the future, stable career paths for a lifetime may become increasingly rare.
My overall stance isn't pessimistic, but I believe that true mature technological optimism shouldn't be about pretending risks don't exist, but about acknowledging risks and still choosing to push forward.
I'm very curious—if in the future AI can learn faster, work faster, and make decisions more quickly than most people, what will human society ultimately reward?