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#SATO $Sat0 Bottom-Fishing Judgment Model
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1. First, here is a core judgment chart (the most important)
Think of mint / burn / price as a curve:
Price stages
Zone A: Low accumulation zone (opportunity)
mint ≈ burn, price slowly rises
↓
Zone B: Accelerated upward zone (risk begins)
mint > burn (10%~25%)
↓
Zone C: Emotional bubble zone (high risk)
mint >> burn (>25%)
↓
Zone D: Collapse/clearing zone (opportunity but dangerous)
mint drops rapidly, volatility is extreme
2. The true “bottom-fishing zone” definition (key point)
✔ You need to look for this combination:
① mint begins to decline (not sideways, but downward)
Note:
New funds decrease
Demand cools down
② burn has not collapsed simultaneously
Note:
There is still “intrinsic value support”
Has not completely lost liquidity
③ mint ≈ burn (gap narrows)
This is critical:
Gap <10% → approaching bottom structure
10–20% → observation zone
25% → avoid
④ Trading volume contracts but does not drop to zero
Note:
Not death
It’s a “cooling period”
3. Here is a “practical scoring model” (for real trading)
Each item scores 0–2 points:
Indicator status score: mint vs burn gap <10% +2; mint downward trend +2; burn stable +2; volume not zero +2; community enthusiasm declining +1
✔ Explanation of scoring results:
0–3 points: ignore
4–6 points: observe
7–8 points: possible bottom (small position trial)
Full score: typical “phase bottom”
4. Very key misconceptions (many people lose money here)
❌ Misconception 1: Low mint = cheap
Wrong.
Low mint may indicate:
Start of collapse
Liquidity withdrawal
Not the bottom
❌ Misconception 2: High burn = safe
Also wrong.
High burn may just mean:
A small amount of liquidity exit
Does not mean someone is taking over
❌ Misconception 3: Look at absolute price
Bonding curve projects:
❗ There is no “cheap” concept, only “structural stage”
5. Real advice for projects like SATO
This mechanism generally has three stages:
1) Early stage (best profit but most dangerous)
mint far below burn
Fast rise
2) Mid stage (most complex)
mint / burn converge back and forth
Volatile
3) Late stage (most critical)
mint declines + burn stabilizes
This is the only “bottom-fishing window”
6. Here is a very practical summary
✔ The true “bottom point” is not the lowest price, but:
mint declining + mint/burn converging + liquidity not disappeared