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May 17, Sunday midday Bitcoin and Ethereum market analysis and trading suggestions
1. Market Review
Looking back from early morning to now, there are finally signs of stabilization in the market. After touching the bottom around 77,600, Bitcoin repeatedly consolidated at the bottom, then slightly rebounded to around 78,000. Currently, it is trading within a narrow range of 77,900-78,000, with no new lows. Ethereum also found support above 2,160, briefly rebounding to around 2,185 in the morning, now steady around 2,180. After several days of downward movement, bearish momentum has significantly weakened, the decline rate has slowed, and more long lower shadows are appearing. Overall, the downward momentum has been nearly exhausted, buying interest below is gradually absorbing, and the market has the conditions for an oversold rebound.
2. Zhi Lan Real Trading Position
Yesterday, Saturday, the market was still in a bearish trend. The strategy repeatedly suggested shorting with the trend. Bitcoin's daily gain was 1,991 points, and Ethereum's daily gain was 64 points, maintaining a steady rhythm over the weekend.
3. Current Market Analysis
Combining multi-timeframe analysis, the current market has completed an initial bottoming and stabilization after the sharp decline, and an oversold rebound is imminent. The 15-minute Bollinger Bands for Bitcoin are starting to contract upward, with the candlesticks above the middle band, indicating short-term bullish momentum; the hourly Bollinger Bands are tightly converging, with the candlesticks above the middle line near 78,077. The contraction of Bollinger Bands suggests a trend reversal is imminent, and the low position after continuous decline with a tight range increases the probability of an upward reversal. The 77,600 level has been tested twice without breaking, forming a short-term double bottom; the 4-hour timeframe shows a severe oversold condition, with strong technical rebound needs. Breaking through the 78,500 resistance will open up a larger upward space. Ethereum's trend is synchronized: the 1-hour chart shows a double bottom around 2,160, with solid support; the 4-hour chart is also severely oversold, with a strong rebound demand. Breaking above 2,200 will accelerate the upward movement.
In terms of volume: during the decline, trading volume gradually decreased, indicating selling pressure has been mostly released. Once buying interest enters, the rebound will be very rapid.
4. Trading Suggestions
With the oversold stabilization and clear rebound signals, the current strategy is to buy on dips at support levels, aiming to catch a rebound wave, while controlling position size and setting proper stop-losses.
BTC: Buy on dips around 77,700-78,000, targeting 78,500-79,000.
ETH: Buy on dips around 2,170-2,180, targeting 2,210-2,240.