Brothers, I didn’t dare close my eyes at all this weekend! This isn’t 48 hours—this is clearly three ticking time bombs fastened to my margin!

First, let me tell you how I survived the night before.

Last week was already blown up and fried: the CLARITY bill passed 15 to 9, a historic regulatory breakthrough. I thought crypto spring had arrived, so I went ahead and opened a long position on BTC. But when the news of an Israeli airstrike popped up, I hadn’t even put down my coffee cup—BTC directly crashed through 82,000 to smash through 80k. 120,000 traders got liquidated, and my 3x leveraged long got poked straight to the liquidation price like it was hit by a needle—losing -4,500U. Regulatory tailwinds versus a geopolitical black swan—getting hit on both sides, like a refugee in a battlefield picking up loose change.

Now, these three things make me not dare leave my screen at all this weekend:

First bomb: the situation in Israel.
The ceasefire probability is only 39%. What does that mean? It means there’s a 61% chance that while I’m asleep, missiles will hit first, and then the candlesticks will gap up. Weekend liquidity is so thin it’s like paper—one big needle can turn high-leverage contracts into candied hawthorn sticks on a string. The moment I see the words “weekend,” I get PTSD—I absolutely won’t hold high-leverage positions over the night.