$BTC Long-term holders have just shown a signal that preceded every major expansion phase since 2012. #BitcoinМетрика Holders with a duration of one year or more have again fallen into the historical "oversold" zone, which previously appeared before sharp upward cycles in 2013, 2016, 2019, and at the end of 2022. Every time weak hands disappeared and long-term positions stabilized at these levels, Bitcoin entered a new major growth phase with aggressive liquidity expansion shortly thereafter. What makes this situation even more dangerous for bears is the timing. The price remains close to the cycle high, while long-term holder pressure continues to cool rather than distribute aggressively. This divergence has historically signaled supply exhaustion rather than a top formation. Smart money absorbs volatility, while retail still expects a deeper correction. The chart also shows that previous overheated holder phases almost perfectly coincided with macro highs, including 2014, 2018, 2021, and the recent local distribution zone in 2025. Today, the structure looks completely different. Holder behavior resembles an early accumulation phase rather than euphoric exit liquidity. If history repeats itself, BTC could be entering a final compression stage before the next vertical growth phase. The market is becoming quieter, and confidence in the chain is strengthening. Such a combination never stays silent for long.


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