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Bitcoin falls below $78k, with over $500 million in long positions liquidated in 24 hours, and nearly $1 billion flowing out of ETFs in a week. This is not a single-day crash but the result of a resonance of triple pressures.
The first layer is the fragility of the leverage structure itself. Data from Coinglass shows that if it falls below $76k, the liquidation strength of mainstream CEX long positions will reach $628 million. The market has accumulated too much leverage in a low-liquidity environment, and a slight dip in price can trigger a chain reaction.
The second layer is the continuous outflow of ETF funds. This week, the US Bitcoin ETF saw a net outflow of $995.5 million, and Ethereum ETFs saw a net outflow of $255.2 million. Institutional funds are withdrawing, while retail leveraged longs are holding on; this structure is unhealthy.
The third layer is the macro background. Global bond sell-offs, the worst trading day for US stocks since March, and a rebound in US Treasury yields are all tightening liquidity in the crypto market. Yi Lihua states that the rebound has basically ended and believes that we are in the “dark before dawn.”
The risk is that if macro pressures continue (Federal Reserve meeting minutes, Nvidia earnings reports), leveraged liquidations could further expand. The current market is sensitive to negative news and dulled to positive news; this asymmetry itself is a fragile signal.
$btc #eth #defi #layer2 #etf