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Macro Ledger Update - Policy Risk Watch
Global risk tone stays defensive. Fresh headlines keep the focus on Fed and inflation risk, the Powell-to-Warsh transition, firmer oil, and Taiwan/US-China tension. Market proxies show DXY near 99.27, the 10Y near 4.60%, VIX higher, and US equities softer.
Energy is the swing factor: WTI is above 105, which can keep inflation expectations sticky and limit the case for fast easing. Gold is pulling back, so this is not a clean haven bid; it looks more like a dollar/yield liquidity check.
Crypto impact: $BTC is near 78.0K after a 24h drop of about 3%, with long-liquidation and ETF-outflow headlines adding pressure. Watch 77.5K-77.8K support, 78.8K-79.2K reclaim, and 80.5K-81.0K as the larger risk-on trigger.
Not financial advice.
#Macro #BTC #Crypto #Markets #Gate