I just reviewed the historical data on Bitcoin halvings again and discovered an interesting pattern that really makes you think. The 500-day rule seems to work remarkably consistently across multiple cycles.

The interesting part is: if you buy about 500 days before a Bitcoin halving, you've been right every time so far. The 2020 halving is a perfect example — anyone who bought according to this strategy back then saw their stack grow significantly later. It was similar with the 2016 halving, where the same logic applied.

The selling side works just as well: roughly 500 days after the halving has historically been a good exit point. The 2020 halving showed this pattern very clearly. The question now is whether the 2020 halving and the dynamics at that time will repeat in the next cycle.

With the 2024 halving, we're currently seeing whether this pattern holds. Some are already speculating on Bitcoin over $100,000, but realistically, we're currently seeing prices in the $79,000 range. Still, the 500-day rule remains interesting for long-term planners.

The strategy is actually simple: accumulate before the halving, sell about 500 days afterward. Whether you should follow this Bitcoin halving strategy depends, of course, on your own risk profile. But the historical data is definitely fascinating enough to keep an eye on. Those who understand the cycles can identify interesting entry and exit points.