#Gate广场五月交易分享

My Bitcoin Intraday Swing Trading Plan

1. Current Market: BTC current price $79,102, down 0.85% in 24 hours. After rebounding to $82,044 on May 14, it failed to stabilize, and today it fell back from $81,662 to $79,102, a 3.1% correction, with the price returning to a weak oscillation zone.

2. Core Swing Basis:

1-hour CCI -104 (oversold) → Higher probability of short-term rebound

15-minute CCI -157 (severely oversold) → Stronger rebound signal

4-hour CCI 19.32 (neutral) → Rebound strength may be mild

Daily RSI oversold → Medium-term rebound demand exists

3. Swing Operation Zones (Four Layers):

Buy Zone $78,500 - $79,300 → Actively go long (recent three-day lows + dense 4-hour SAR support)
Watch Zone $79,300 - $80,700 → Hold position and wait, do not open new positions
High Sell Zone $80,700 - $81,500 → Reduce positions or lightly short (1-hour SAR resistance at $81,371)
Strong Resistance Zone $81,500 - $82,100 → Only lightly chase after volume breakout, very high risk

Primary Strategy — Buy Low and Go Long: $78,800 - $79,200 stabilize and go long → Target $80,700 → Stop loss $78,300 (profit/loss ratio approx. 3:1)
Alternative Strategy — Sell High and Short: $81,000 - $81,300 encounter resistance and short → Target $79,500 → Stop loss $82,000 (profit/loss ratio approx. 1.5:1)
Secondary Buy Low: $79,200 - $79,500 stabilize and go long → Target $80,500 → Stop loss $78,500 (profit/loss ratio approx. 2:1)

Key Support: $79,296 (4-hour SAR), $78,650 (24-hour low), $78,500 (lower boundary of oscillation zone), $78,000 (trend turns bearish)
Key Resistance: $80,706 (15-minute SAR), $81,371 (1-hour SAR), $82,044 (previous high)

4. Risk Control Iron Rules:

Long position stop loss at $78,300, short position stop loss at $82,000
Break below $78,000 → Trend turns bearish, abandon long positions
Move stop loss to breakeven after 1% profit, lock in profits after 2% profit
Pause trading after two consecutive losses

5. Core Operation: Today mainly oscillate and sell high, buy low, do not expect a one-sided trend. The oversold signals on 15-minute and 1-hour CCI support buying low, while the neutral 4-hour CCI indicates mild rebound strength. Rebound to $81,000-$81,300 for high sell and short, repeatedly operate to accumulate profits.