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#Polymarket每日热点 I tracked the odds of this predicted event over the past week:
· The probability of "Yes" dropped from 52% to 41%
· Large addresses are mainly selling "Yes" shares
Therefore, I bought a small position of "No" on Polymarket (attached trading screenshot 👇), and placed a 10U event card.
Reason: Even if the bill passes the committee, it faces lobbying from interest groups (banks oppose clear definitions), and political games during election years, so completing the process within 2026 is overly optimistic.
What signals do you see in your on-chain data? Let's discuss together.