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U.S. Treasury yields are hitting fresh multi-month highs across the board, with the two-year reaching 4.064% and the 30-year breaking above 5.071%. This is not only a macro signal, but also a direct pressure source for crypto liquidity.
A surge in yields means higher risk-free rates, weighing on the valuations of risk assets. Bitcoin remains stuck below the 200-day moving average, gold is falling in tandem, and the trend of funds flowing back from risk assets into the bond market is being reinforced.
But on the other hand, the tokenized U.S. Treasury bond market could benefit. As U.S. Treasury yields rise, on-chain U.S. Treasury products become more attractive in terms of actual yield, and the RWA track may see structural capital inflows.
The current market is caught in a tug-of-war between macro and on-chain narratives: on one side is the interest rate pressure from traditional finance, and on the other is tokenized assets capturing traditional returns. Traders need to be alert to liquidity stratification—funds may move from high-beta assets into low-risk RWAs, rather than withdrawing across the board.
On the downside: if yields keep trending higher, rising leverage costs could trigger a chain of liquidations, especially high-leverage positions on on-chain derivatives platforms such as Hyperliquid. The market structure is more fragile than it looks on the surface.
$btc #hype #defi #rwa #On-chain data