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Is the crypto world about to go mainstream? The true drama behind the Clarity Act exposed
If the past ten years in the crypto space were like "Western gold rush in the internet era," then the Clarity Act might be the "beginning of building the railway."
On May 14th, after the U.S. Senate Banking Committee officially advanced the Clarity Act, the market suddenly realized: the U.S. might really be preparing to establish long-term rules for digital assets.
Why is this important?
Because the biggest enemy in the crypto world has never been bear markets, but "uncertainty."
Projects don't know if they qualify as securities;
Exchanges don't know when they might be investigated;
Investment institutions don't know where the compliance boundaries are.
The entire industry has been like "driving while repairing the steering wheel."
And the essence of the Clarity Act is to make the game rules transparent for the first time.
But many people overestimate the efficiency of U.S. legislation.
Passing the committee is just the first hurdle.
Next, it needs a vote in the full Senate, coordination with the House of Representatives, and presidential signing.
Any step could be blocked by political struggles.
Especially the regulatory power dispute between SEC and CFTC, which is very much like "who will be the class monitor."
Because whoever has regulatory authority will hold future financial influence.
And a deeper issue is:
There is a huge divide in understanding of the crypto industry within the U.S.
Tech capital sees this as the future;
Traditional financial forces see it as risky;
Some politicians view it as a tool for votes.
So the future of the Clarity Act will definitely undergo significant amendments and compromises.
But I still believe it will ultimately pass.
The reason is simple:
The U.S. can no longer ignore digital assets.
ETFs are already here;
Institutions are entering;
Young investors already treat the on-chain world as part of their daily finance.
If regulation remains absent for too long, the U.S. might lose its leading position.
And the one thing the U.S. cannot accept is "future financial rules being made by others."
Therefore, from a strategic perspective, establishing a regulatory framework is only a matter of time.
My prediction:
There is about a 65%-70% chance of formal legislation being completed by 2026.
However, the final version may differ significantly from the current draft.
Because there is a classic rule in American politics:
Any bill, before passing, is first "sliced into a pizza" by various parties.
But no matter what, the crypto industry has entered a critical stage of "from wild growth to institutionalization."
And the truly big funds often favor this kind of historical turning point. #Polymarket每日热点